Thursday, December 4, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, December 05 2025

 




“You can deny climate change all you want — but your insurance bill already believes in it.” 
- adaptationguide.com


THE INSURANCE COLLAPSE IS HERE — AND IT’S NOT A “CLIMATE HOAX,” IT’S A MARKET VERDICT


If you think the “new normal” is a hoax, then go ahead: sue your insurance company for lying.

Or better yet, sue the entire Republican Party for failing to notify the global reinsurance markets that “extreme weather is fake news.” Because guess what?

The reinsurance giants didn’t get the memo.


Welcome to the real economy—where actuarial tables don’t care about political narratives, memes, or your cousin’s Facebook wisdom. Climate risk is now priced in real dollars, and those dollars are detonating the American dream ZIP code by ZIP code.



THE GREAT AMERICAN UNRAVELING ISN’T A FUTURE CRISIS — IT’S ALREADY HERE

Across America’s most disaster-prone regions, homeowners are learning a brutal truth:

Your home is worth less today because the sky is angrier than it was five years ago, and the insurance industry is done pretending otherwise.

Insurance premiums have exploded—doubling, tripling, quadrupling—not because insurers “hate freedom,” but because the math says your house is going underwater, burning down, or being ripped apart.

Reinsurance companies, the invisible global giants who insure the insurers, have already sounded the alarm. They’ve doubled their rates. They’ve re-priced catastrophe risk. They’ve declared the new climate regime loud and clear.

Markets have already accepted climate reality. Only politicians and conspiracy influencers haven’t.



THE CRATERING OF THE REAL ESTATE MARKET: A SILENT BUST

And here’s the next domino:

Home values in high-risk zones are collapsing.
Not someday.
Not maybe.
Now.

A nationwide analysis of 74 million mortgage-related payments—yes, actual math, not political rhetoric—found that since 2018:

  • Homes in the most hurricane/wildfire-exposed ZIP codes now sell for $43,900 LESS than they otherwise would.

  • Even ZIP codes outside the top danger zones have lost $20,500 in value.

  • Some coastal communities have seen home values fall 38% since 2020.

That is not a housing “slump.”
That is not a “market correction.”
That is a climate-driven asset collapse.



THE NEW AMERICAN TRAP: YOU CAN’T AFFORD TO STAY, BUT YOU CAN’T AFFORD TO LEAVE

In town after town across the South, the Gulf Coast, and the Mountain West, millions of homeowners face a sick paradox:

  • Insurance premiums are so high you can’t afford to keep the house.

  • But because no one can afford those premiums, nobody will buy your house either.

  • So you’re stuck—paying more for insurance than for your mortgage, trapped in a shrinking market, while your biggest asset slowly devalues.

This is the quietest mass displacement in modern U.S. history, and it’s happening without FEMA trailers, without viral videos, without headlines.

The climate crisis is now a personal finance crisis—and the people who mocked climate change for 20 years are suddenly discovering what happens when you bet against physics.



THE EXPLOSION NO ONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT: FORECLOSURE BY INSURANCE

Banks won’t issue or maintain mortgages without coverage.
Insurers are dropping customers.
Reinsurers are raising prices.
Construction costs are spiking.

So the everyday homeowner faces a rigged choice:

  1. Pay ruinous premiums you can’t afford, or

  2. Drop coverage and lose your mortgage, or

  3. Walk away from a home no one wants, or

  4. Self-insure and pray your roof stays attached.

This is not a “market adjustment.”
It’s a slow-motion mass eviction driven by a climate reality politicians refuse to acknowledge publicly.



COLORADO BURNS. LOUISIANA SINKs. CALIFORNIA SMOKEs. FLORIDA WARMs. THE MARKET REACTS.

What do these states have in common?

  • Colorado: wildfire + hail → premiums doubled in a decade.

  • California: insurers flee, deals collapse mid-sale because buyers can’t find coverage.

  • Louisiana & Florida: the insurance system is imploding so fast that some premiums now equal 20–30% of total housing payments.

If this were any other sector, politicians would be screaming.
But it’s climate risk, so half the country is busy yelling at wind turbines instead of reading an insurance bill.


THE MOST CONTROVERSIAL SENTENCE YOU’LL READ TODAY

If you genuinely believe climate change is a hoax, then here is your logical next step:

Sue your insurance company for fraud.

After all, if extreme weather isn’t real, then insurers are raising your premiums for no reason. If hurricanes haven’t intensified, if wildfires aren’t bigger, if floods aren’t more frequent, then insurers are price-gouging you with lies.

So sue them.

Better yet:
Sue the Republican Party for failing to notify Munich Re, Swiss Re, Lloyd’s, and every U.S. carrier that “climate science is fake.”

Because those companies have already adapted to a hotter, riskier planet. They have billions on the line. They don’t care about your politics. They care about payouts.



THE FINAL TRUTH: NATURE DOESN’T CARE ABOUT YOUR OPINION

Here is the coldest, most brutal reality:

You can argue with liberals.
You can argue with scientists.
You can argue with the media.
But you cannot argue with your insurance bill.

Markets are speaking louder than politicians ever will.

When reinsurance giants raise rates, it’s not ideology.
It’s not “virtue signaling.”
It’s not the deep state.
It’s data.

Climate denial may win votes, but it cannot beat actuarial math.

And right now, the math is telling millions of Americans:

You live in a danger zone, and it’s getting worse.
You can deny it, but you will still pay for it.



WHAT HAPPENS NEXT: NOTHING LESS THAN A REORDERING OF AMERICA

This is only the beginning.

As premiums keep rising and reinsurance keeps tightening:

  • Real estate markets will continue to fracture.

  • Wealth will migrate away from high-risk regions.

  • Local tax bases will collapse.

  • Municipal services will erode.

  • Forced migration will accelerate.

  • Climate denial will get louder—right up until people are standing in water wondering why their house is worthless.

You can debate climate change forever.
But you cannot outrun a market that has already priced the future.

The climate crisis is no longer environmental. It's financial.
And the bill just arrived.


yours truly,

Adaptation-Guide

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Dear Daily Disaster Diary, December 05 2025

  Wake Up Call: The Impact of Climate Change On Insurance Premiums “You can deny climate change all you want — but your insurance bill alrea...