The way to stop financial "joy-riding" is to arrest the chauffeur, not the automobile.
- Woodrow Wilson
What's behind Europe's car industry crisis? | Ed Conway analysis
2024 Looking Back and Forward:
Electric Vehicles—Yeah, But No!
Consumer demand for electric vehicles (EVs) is falling. Despite years of hype, EVs haven’t gained traction with the masses. Why?
Because the average person simply can’t afford them. Let’s be honest: most people balk at the cost of an electric bicycle, let alone an EV. Have you seen those prices?
Even though EV prices have come down from their eye-watering highs, they still induce sticker shock for the majority of consumers.
Add to that the hefty costs of insurance, repairs, and maintenance, and it’s no wonder many are sticking with their trusty internal combustion engines (ICEs).
The Reality Check on EV Mandates
Governments worldwide have been trumpeting plans to phase out gas-powered cars, light trucks, and SUVs by 2030 or 2035. Admirable in theory, but recent developments suggest that these mandates are more folly than forward-thinking.
Take Ford, for instance. The automaker initially committed to producing EVs at certain plants but has pivoted to manufacturing gas-powered Super Duty pickup trucks instead. Why?
Consumer preferences. Meanwhile, General Motors (GM) is retreating from its ambitious goal of producing one million EVs in North America by the end of next year and has postponed opening an EV truck factory in Michigan.
Even ancillary players are feeling the pinch. Belgium-based Umicore has paused construction of a multi-million-dollar battery-materials manufacturing plant, and Swedish battery maker Northvolt AB is reportedly broke.
Rental car giants Hertz and Sixt are also rethinking their EV fleets, citing higher repair costs and lower resale values. The ripple effects are undeniable.
Political Posturing or Practicality?
The Republican presidential nominee has vowed to “end the electric-vehicle mandate on day one,” while Elon Musk—an EV champion—continues to occupy a polarizing space in this debate.
Pull the plug on EV tax credits and subsidies, and even the wealthy might lose interest. Let’s not forget that most politicians still drive or are chauffeured in gas-guzzlers. The exceptions?
Maybe the Pope, who has embraced EVs. But let’s face it: he’s hardly the “influencer” the industry needs.
The Brand Problem
Even among those who can afford EVs, brand loyalty—or the lack thereof—is another barrier.
A Tesla? Too MAGA for some.
A Volkswagen? Not after “Dieselgate.”
A Porsche? Sure, but only after a lottery win.
The options are either politically fraught or financially unattainable for the average buyer.
The Case for Hitting Pause
Governments should hit pause on plans to phase out gas-powered cars. The ban is overly aggressive and tone-deaf to economic realities.
Unless you’re Norwegian and swimming in oil and gas wealth, it’s simply not the time to push cash-strapped consumers toward costlier cars.
Inflation may be easing, but ordinary people are still grappling with a cost-of-living crisis. Legislators must look beyond the hype and focus on practical solutions.
Until EV prices drop to a level that doesn’t alienate the average consumer, mandates will do more harm than good.
Conclusion
EVs are an admirable goal but remain a privilege for the few, not a solution for the many.
The industry needs to rethink its approach, addressing affordability and infrastructure challenges before pushing aggressive mandates.
In the meantime, let’s pump the brakes on this EV obsession and prioritize policies that reflect the financial realities of the people governments are meant to serve.
Sincerely,
Adaptation-Guide
