Thursday, July 10, 2025

Dear Daily Disaster Diary, July 11 2025

 

📦 You cannot fill your shelves with Made-in-China goods and claim to stand for human rights.

🛰️ You cannot build your future on components that fund drone wars and autocracy.

💰 You cannot bankroll war and then pray for peace.


The "Peace Broker" No One Dares Confront: How the World Got Addicted to Made-in-China War Profits


 — Translated, Expanded, and Unfiltered for the Adaptation-Guide



While European leaders and Western media line up daily to lambast Donald Trump for failing to broker peace in Ukraine, they remain strangely mute about the one man who could actually end the war in a matter of days: Xi Jinping.

Yes, that Xi — the president-for-life of the People's Republic of China. 

The one who parades around global summits pretending to be a neutral peace facilitator while covertly bankrolling the Kremlin’s war machine.


China's Invisible Hand: The True War Enabler


Let's cut the diplomatic fluff. The so-called "no-limits partnership" between Beijing and Moscow isn’t just a friendly handshake among autocrats — it’s a lifeline for Russia’s military aggression. 

Without the constant influx of Chinese technology, semiconductors, and hard cash, Western sanctions would have already crippled Russia’s economy and war effort.

Instead, what we’ve got is a rigged game: China plays both sides, profiting off global chaos while maintaining the illusion of distance. 

And the West, hopelessly addicted to Chinese manufacturing and markets, just keeps playing along.


NATO’s Wake-Up Call (And Then Its Silence)


At least someone in the room said the quiet part out loud. 

At the NATO summit in July 2024, member states finally called out China as a key enabler of Russia’s war. The language was unusually direct for such forums:

 

“We call on the PRC to cease all material and political support for Russia’s war efforts.”


But that’s where it ended — with words. 

Not a single follow-up sanction. 

Not a coordinated pressure campaign. 

Not even a slap on the wrist.


The Real Supply Chain: Guns, Gas, and Semiconductors


Officially, China doesn’t send weapons to Russia. But let’s not pretend. What China is sending — and what Russia desperately needs — are:

  • Semiconductors (for missiles, tanks, and drones),

  • Dual-use goods (commercial on paper, lethal in practice),

  • Drone components (especially critical for Russia’s aerial warfare in Ukraine),

  • And of course, billions in oil and gas purchases, injecting liquidity into Putin’s sanctions-starved economy.

According to the Mercator Institute for China Studies, bilateral trade between China and Russia more than doubled between 2020 and 2024, reaching a staggering $245 billion

While Western sanctions tried to choke off Russia’s war economy, China opened a back door wide enough to drive a convoy through.


China Buys Fossil Fuel. Russia Buys High-Tech Warfare.


Here's the catch: Russia sells China cheap, dirty energy. China sells Russia the technology to wage war. It’s a transactional love affair where autocracies win and democracies hemorrhage — economically and morally.

Even worse, China’s energy sourcing is ruthlessly pragmatic. 

If the West applied pressure, if oil prices dropped, if Beijing felt real heat, it could reduce dependence on Russian crude. 

But no one dares confront the dragon.

Why?

Because the global economy is now hooked on “Made in China.”


The Addict’s Dilemma: Western Cowardice and Economic Codependency


Europe — and especially Germany — is paralyzed. 

Not by fear of war, but by fear of losing its economic heroin: Chinese trade. 

From car parts to microchips to solar panels, European prosperity depends on the very country enabling a war in its backyard.

Any real sanction on China would ripple like a nuclear shockwave through global supply chains, crashing markets, sparking inflation, and tanking GDPs. 

Western leaders would rather gamble with Ukrainian lives than their reelection chances.

And so, the farce continues: Xi Jinping, the man with the red telephone to the Kremlin, gets to cosplay as a peace broker while underwriting the bloodshed. 

Meanwhile, the media obsesses over Trump’s latest tweet.


The Path Out of Addiction: Painful, Incremental, and Unavoidable


Let’s stop pretending this war ends with diplomacy while we leave the enablers untouched. 

There is leverage against China — but only if we’re willing to accept economic discomfort:

  1. Targeted Secondary Sanctions: Hit Chinese firms supplying dual-use goods to Russia. Name names. Freeze assets. Force compliance.

  2. Public Exposure: Investigative journalism must drag the economic alliance between Beijing and Moscow into the daylight. No more silence.

  3. Supply Chain Decoupling: Accelerate domestic production and reshoring of critical industries. It’s time to de-Chinalize tech and defense sectors.

  4. Consumer Pressure: Western citizens must wake up. If your electric car or iPhone indirectly funds Russian drone strikes, that’s not neutrality — that’s complicity.

  5. Energy Price Diplomacy: Use oil and gas pricing — one of the last economic tools left — to undercut Russia’s leverage over China.

  6. Stop Glorifying “Peace Talks” Without Leverage: Peace does not come from words. It comes from consequences.


Xi Jinping Could End This War Tomorrow — But He Won’t


He doesn’t need a UN speech. 

He doesn’t need a negotiation table. 

All he needs to do is make a call to Moscow and cut the flow of goods and cash. But as long as the West lacks the will to force his hand, Ukraine bleeds — and China profits.

This isn’t a peace process. It’s a protection racket.



You want peace? Then stop whining about Trump and start dismantling the world’s most dangerous supply chain. Because as long as the West remains addicted to Made in China, Xi Jinping will keep dealing — and Putin will keep killing.



Sources and Citations



Want to know what we can actually do next?
Stay tuned for the China Containment Playbook – coming soon on Adaptation-Guide.


Sincerly,


Adaptation-Guide

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